Pushing The Limit: The Impacts Of Raising Federal Limits On Contributions To Campaigns
6/1/1999
Executive Summary
At least five proposals
to increase limits on contributions by individuals to congressional candidates
-- either as stand-alone measures or as part of a package of campaign finance
measures -- have been floated by important political groups and individuals
in the past year.
The following paper analyzes
the likely impact of these proposals on which candidates get elected and on
the power of wealthy interests vs. the general public in governmental decision
making.
Our analysis concludes that
all of the proposals to increase contribution limits fail -- in varying degrees
-- to move our political system toward the goal of a democracy of the people,
by the people, and for the people. In other words, they are not in the public
interest.
Instead, they are the wrong
solutions to the wrong problems at the wrong time.
These failings fit into
three categories:
1. The proposals will give
even more power to wealthy individuals. Raising individual contribution limits
will result in an even greater percentage of campaign money coming from wealthy
donors -- thereby making it more likely that candidates sympathetic to wealthy
interests will be elected and lean in their donors' direction when governing.
Raising limits will not benefit candidates who don't know anyone that has $1,000
available to contribute to them, much less $3,000 or more.
Banning soft money contributions
in exchange for an increase in individual contribution limits will also not
reduce the influence of wealthy donors on campaigns. An increase in the individual
contribution limit to $2,500 will likely allow wealthy donors to contribute
at least an additional $318 million in hard money, more than the $224 million
removed by a soft money ban.
2. The proposals fail solve
the problems they claim to address:
* The proposals will not
cause candidates to spend less time raising money. In any competitive race without
spending limits, candidates never think they have "enough" money.
The fact that they can raise, say, $1 million in less time because of higher
contribution limits will not cause a candidate to relax if his or her opponent
is raising $1 million at the same pace. It will tend to prompt them to raise
another $1 million.
* The proposals will not
help challengers. There is not conclusive evidence that states that have lowered
contribution limits have experienced any significant difference in the success
rate of challengers. Likewise, states such as California, which have no contribution
limits, have not experienced significantly lower incumbent reelection rates
than Congress or other states that have lower contribution limits.
* The proposals will not
restore the intent of the 1974 campaign finance law after inflation. The 1974
law limited both campaign contributions and spending, creating a balance between
the two. These proposals raise the contribution limits -- which were already
too high in 1974 -- to offset inflation, but do not set spending limits for
all candidates -- even at the same level as in 1974 after adjustment for inflation.
3. The proposals attack
problems that either do not exist or which are not serious concerns:
* Candidate spending has
not been seriously limited by current contribution limits. Candidate spending
has gone up at a rate 50% greater than the rate of inflation since 1974 and
2.3 times the rate of increase in the wages of ordinary Americans.
* Parties will not be crippled
by the banning of soft money contributions, a concern that some proposals claim
justifies an increase in individual contributions to candidates and parties.
Parties already raise twice as much "hard" money as "soft"
money. Moreover, parties thrived long before they discovered the loophole in
FEC regulations that allowed them to solicit and accept soft money contributions.
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